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TRANSFORMATION OF THE RUSSIAN AGRICULTURAL EXPORT MODEL UNDER SANCTIONS: TRENDS, OPPORTUNITIES, THREATS Transformation of the Russian agricultural export model under sanctions: trends, opportunities, threats

Published in INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL JOURNAL · Issue 6, 2026 · Pages 810–814 · Rubric: Agrarian reform and forms of managing
DOI: https://doi.org/10.55186/25876740_2026_69_6_810
Received: 25.08.2026 Accepted: 23.09.2026 Published: 15.10.2026
This article analyzes trends in the dynamics and structure of agricultural exports in 2022-2025. A study of the sectoral structure of export deliveries leads to a conclusion about the product diversification of exports and a reorientation of the export model from a raw materials focus to the supply of products with a high share of added value. It is shown that this significantly changes Russia's place in global value chains and illustrates the formation of national export-oriented fragments in the Russian agricultural sector. The article presents the results of a comprehensive study of processes associated with the reorientation of foreign trade flows in the Russian agricultural sector and the large-scale transformation of export logistics in the current context of strict sanctions. Particular attention is paid to the dynamics of the switch in supplies from traditional European markets to alternative Asian and Middle Eastern destinations. An assessment is given to the level of geographic concentration of export flows. It has been demonstrated that, despite a temporary decline in export revenues in 2024-2025, the structural shifts favoring high-value-added products, along with the deep diversification of the geographic supply structure, lay a solid foundation for long-term and sustainable growth in agricultural exports. An analysis of the level of state support for agricultural exports has revealed the significance of this institutional factor, which offsets increased risks such as logistical constraints, currency volatility, and the loss of traditional markets. However, the existing support model is systemically limited, as its effectiveness is directly tied to the volume of budget funding, which creates risks should fiscal policy become more stringent.
agricultural exports, logistics chains, reorientation of export flows, food security, government support, sanctions restrictions, Asian and Middle Eastern markets
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