Geoecological monitoring of regional changes in landscape and climatic conditions of pyrogen hazard occurrence in the south of Tyumen region

Vera Kuznetsova; Elza Kuznetsova

doi:10.55186/25876740_2026_69_5_697

VAK Russia 1.6.12 UDC 504.064.2 UDC 911.2

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GEOECOLOGICAL MONITORING OF REGIONAL CHANGES IN LANDSCAPE AND CLIMATIC CONDITIONS OF PYROGEN HAZARD OCCURRENCE IN THE SOUTH OF TYUMEN REGION Geoecological monitoring of regional changes in landscape and climatic conditions of pyrogen hazard occurrence in the south of Tyumen region

АА Аа

Published in INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL JOURNAL · Issue 5, 2026 · Pages 697–703 · Rubric: Environmental and food security

DOI: https://doi.org/10.55186/25876740_2026_69_5_697

Received: 29.05.2026 Accepted: 08.07.2026 Published: 15.09.2026

Authors

Vera Kuznetsova

ORCID Scopus ResearcherID SPIN

Elza Kuznetsova

ORCID Scopus ResearcherID SPIN

Vera Kuznetsova

Academic degree: candidate of geographical sciences

Nizhnevartovsk State University associate professor of the department · department of geography · Russian Federation · Nizhnevartovsk

ORCID Scopus ResearcherID SPIN

Elza Kuznetsova

Academic degree: candidate of geographical sciences

Tyumen State University associate professor of the department · department of physical geography and ecology · Russian Federation · Tyumen

ORCID Scopus ResearcherID SPIN

ABSTRACT

The article presents the main results of geoecological monitoring of landscape and climatic conditions for the occurrence of pyrogenic hazard in the south of the Tyumen region. Using data from meteorological stations in Tyumen and Ishim, an analysis of the long-term course of the average annual air temperature, total precipitation, relative air humidity, and snow depth for 1988-2023 was conducted. Trends of increasing average annual air temperature and decreasing total annual precipitation, relative air humidity, and average snow depth were identified. Using data from the Tyumen Center for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring, water levels in the Ishim, Tavda, and Tura rivers were analyzed for 2008-2023. An analysis of lake area was performed for 1975, 2002, and 2022. It was established that in the south of Western Siberia, water levels in rivers and lake area are among the key factors of pyrogenic hazard, determining the likelihood and scale of wildfires. The lowest river water levels during the fire season were observed between 2008 and 2012. During this same period, the southern Tyumen Oblast experienced the highest number of fires and a relative increase in the area burned. Using geoinformation mapping, a comparative geospatial analysis of fire areas and lake water surfaces was conducted for 2022 across the administrative districts of the southern Tyumen Oblast. Maps of the depth and density of relief dissection were compiled for the Tyumen, Ishim, and Nizhnetavdinsky districts of the Tyumen Oblast. The orographic factor in forest fire occurrence is determined by terrain elevation, slope, aspect, and elevation changes. Research has shown that the highest number of fires occurs in flat areas, where the height does not exceed 80 meters. The results of geoecological monitoring of changes in landscape and climatic conditions for the occurrence of fire hazards in the southern Tyumen region can be used in developing a predictive model for wildfires to ensure the environmental safety of the region.

KEYWORDS

wildfires, physical and geographical factors of pyrogenic hazard, meteorological indicators, water levels in rivers, lake area, relief dissection depth, relief dissection density

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Editor-in-Chief

Aleksandr Fomin

Deputy Editor-in-Chief

Tat'yana V. Kazennova

Responsible Secretary

Irina Mamontova

Issue Editor

Gilyana Yakushkina

Literary Editor

Marina G. Fomina

Editorial

Redakcii Sotrudnik

info@mshj.ru

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GOST

Kuznetsova V. P., Kuznetsova E. A. Geoecological monitoring of regional changes in landscape and climatic conditions of pyrogen hazard occurrence in the south of Tyumen region // INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL JOURNAL. 2026. no. 5. pp. 697-703. DOI: https://doi.org/10.55186/25876740_2026_69_5_697. (Date of access 27.10.2026).

MLA

Vera Kuznetsova, Kuznetsova E. A.. "Geoecological monitoring of regional changes in landscape and climatic conditions of pyrogen hazard occurrence in the south of Tyumen region." INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL JOURNAL.5 (2026): 697-703. DOI: https://doi.org/10.55186/25876740_2026_69_5_697.

APA

Kuznetsova V. P., Kuznetsova E. A. (2026). Geoecological monitoring of regional changes in landscape and climatic conditions of pyrogen hazard occurrence in the south of Tyumen region. INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL JOURNAL(5), 697-703. https://doi.org/10.55186/25876740_2026_69_5_697

Chicago

Vera Kuznetsova, Kuznetsova E. A.. "Geoecological monitoring of regional changes in landscape and climatic conditions of pyrogen hazard occurrence in the south of Tyumen region." INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL JOURNAL, no. 5 (2026): 697-703. https://doi.org/10.55186/25876740_2026_69_5_697.

WIKI

{{cite journal | author = Kuznetsova V. P., Kuznetsova E. A. | title = Geoecological monitoring of regional changes in landscape and climatic conditions of pyrogen hazard occurrence in the south of Tyumen region | journal = INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL JOURNAL | year = 2026 | issue = 5 | pages = 697-703 | doi = 10.55186/25876740_2026_69_5_697 }}

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GEOECOLOGICAL MONITORING OF REGIONAL CHANGES IN LANDSCAPE AND CLIMATIC CONDITIONS OF PYROGEN HAZARD OCCURRENCE IN THE SOUTH OF TYUMEN REGION Geoecological monitoring of regional changes in landscape and climatic conditions of pyrogen hazard occurrence in the south of Tyumen region

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